Third Quarter in 2009 have a new condo upsurge

TORONTO, November 3, 2009

…Urbanation, Inc., the leading source of information and

analysis on the Toronto condominium market since 1981, today released highlights of its Q3/09

market overview.

According to Ben Myers, Editor and Executive Vice President of Urbanation, “The performance

of the Toronto Census Market Area (CMA) condominium apartment market in Q3/09 was

nothing short of miraculous.

 

There were more new condominium sales in the third quarter of

2009 than in the first two quarters combined

 

and for the second consecutive quarter, a record

number of resale condominiums were purchased across the CMA.”

New condominium unit sales for Q3/09 numbered an astounding 4,617, a 56 per cent increase

compared to Q2/09 and 16 per cent increase over the same quarter in 2008. Resale units sold in

Q3/09 numbered 4,854, a 29 per cent increased over Q3/08.

Myers said, “The sharp turnaround in the new condo market was unexpected, but a pleasant

surprise following nine months of depressed activity.”

The average price per square foot (PSF) for the unsold new units in Q3/09 of $475 PSF has

remained relatively flat for over a year. Most of the new projects openings in the Quarter

launched with pricing below $475 PSF; these affordable projects contributed to the surge in new

condo sales in Q3/09.

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“Canny developers reacted by cutting back on previous Quarters’ incentive programs (which had

featured incentives such as free parking and locker, cash back at closing, or free suite upgrades),”

Myers added.

Q3/09’s sales activity brought the level of unsold new unit inventory down to a level 30 per cent

below the high of 17,610 in Q4/08; to 12,227 by the end of Q3/09.

“Many of the CMA’s major developers responded to the sharp uptick in sales in Q3/09 with a

flurry of high-density land sale transactions in Q3/09, most notably the acquisition of the

cancelled 1 Bloor development by Great Gulf Homes,” Myers said.

In addition to record level of resales in Q3/09, average price per square foot (PSF) in the resale

market of $337 psf, surpassed the previous quarterly record high of $328 PSF in Q3/08. Total

listings were down compared to Q2/09 - this lack of supply resulted in the average resale suite in

the Toronto CMA taking just 27 days to sell, down from 36 in Q2/09.

“Contributing to the lack of supply in Q3/09 was the recent City of Toronto workers’ strike,

which delayed registration of several new projects,” he added.

“Looking to Q4/09 and beyond, the upturn in Toronto CMA condominium market will continue

if the key elements remain in place; affordable PSF, low interest rates, continued migration into

the CMA, and an absence of any combination of government taxation, banking or regulatory

actions that might impede high-density growth,” Myers said.

The unprecedented decade-long boom in the Toronto CMA condominium market continues

thanks to the ingenuity of the industry stakeholders, and the confidence buyers have in

developers ability to delivery high quality product in the midst of a global recession.

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ABOUT URBANATION

Urbanation is Canada’s leading condominium market research company. Since 1981, Urbanation

has analyzed the Toronto condominium market, publishing the “industry bible” – Urbanation’s

Condominium Market Survey. This quarterly Report tracks new, resale and future condominium

projects. Urbanation also provides the development community with essential consulting

services, which include site and topic specific market studies and surveys.

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